Derivation and Validation of a Model to Predict Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension Using Transient Elastography and FIB-4.

BACKGROUND: Liver biopsy and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), the gold standard for assessing advanced fibrosis (AF) and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), are invasive, costly, and time-consuming. GOAL: We investigated if the combination of fibrosis index based on 4 factors (FIB-4) and liver stiffness measure (LSM) can identify AF and more importantly, CSPH. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with chronic liver disease referred for transjugular liver biopsy were analyzed retrospectively. FIB-4 and LSM were compared with liver histology for diagnosing AF. FIB-4, LSM, and platelet count were compared with HVPG for diagnosing CSPH. Optimal cutoffs for predicting CSPH were determined by grid search. A composite log-odds to predict CSPH was derived from logistic regression using LSM, FIB-4, and gender. Internal bootstrap validation and external validation were performed. RESULTS: A total of 142 patients were included in the derivation; 42.3% had AF, and 11.3% had CSPH using the current gold standards. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for LSM, FIB-4, and their combination to predict AF were 0.7550, 0.7049, and 0.7768, respectively. LSM, FIB-4, and platelet count predicted CSPH with AUROC 0.6818, 0.7532, and 0.7240, respectively. LSM plus FIB-4 showed the best performance in predicting CSPH with AUROC 0.8155. Based on LSM, FIB-4, and gender, a novel model-the Portal Hypertension Assessment Tool (PHAT)-was developed to predict CSPH. PHAT score ≥-2.76 predicted CSPH with sensitivity 94%, specificity 67%, positive predictive value 27%, negative predictive value 99%, and accuracy 70%. In internal and external validation, AUROCs for the model were 0.8293 and 0.7899, respectively. CONCLUSION: A model consisting of FIB-4, LSM, and gender can identify CSPH among patients with chronic liver disease.

Use of doppler ultrasound to predict need for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt revision.

BACKGROUND: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is used to treat complications of portal hypertension, such as ascites and variceal bleeding (VB). While liver doppler ultrasound (DUS) is used to assess TIPS patency, trans-shunt venography (TSV) is the gold standard. AIM: To determine the accuracy of DUS to assess TIPS dysfunction and for need for revision. METHODS: Retrospective review of patients referred for TIPS revision from 2008-2021. Demographics, DUS parameters at baseline and at the DUS preceding TIPS revision, TSV data were collected. Receiver operating characteristics curves, sensitivity, specificity, performance for doppler to predict need for revision were performed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to predict clinical factors associated with need for TIPS revision. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 89 patients with cirrhosis (64% men, 76% white, 31% alcohol as etiology); median age 59 years. Indication for initial TIPS were VB (41%), refractory ascites (51%), and other (8%). TIPS was revised in 44%. On univariate analysis, factors associated with need for TIPS revision were male (P = 0.03), initial indication for TIPS (P = 0.05) and indication for revision (P = 0.01). Revision of TIPS was associated with lower mortality (26% vs 46%) and significantly lower rates of transplant (13% vs 24%; P = 0.1). In predicting need for TIPS revision, DUS has a 40% sensitivity, 45% specificity, PPV 78%, and NPV 14%. The most accurate location for shunt velocity measure was distal velocity (Area under the curve: 0.79; P = 0.0007). CONCLUSION: DUS has poor overall sensitivity and specificity in predicting need for TIPS revision. Non-invasive methods of predicting TIPS dysfunction are needed since those needing TIPS revision had better survival.

Alcohol-related emergency department visits among people ages 13 to 25 years.

OBJECTIVE: Data from a large, nationally representative sample of hospital emergency departments (EDs) were used to assess the prevalence and characteristics of alcohol-related ED visits among people ages 13 to 25 years in the United States. METHOD: Emergency department visits recorded in the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System-All Injury Program were coded for alcohol involvement based on alcohol product codes and abstractions of chart narratives. National estimates and confidence intervals were calculated using SUDAAN statistical software. RESULTS: Based on these chart data, in the United States in 2001 there were an estimated 244,331 alcohol-related ED visits among people ages 13 to 25 (3.2% of total visits). Of these, an estimated 119,503 (49%) involved people below the legal drinking age of 21. The number of alcohol-related visits increased throughout adolescence and young adulthood to the age of 21, after which they decreased to levels similar to those seen for 18 to 20 year olds. Alcohol-related visits were most frequent on weekends and among males and were more strongly associated with visits related to assault or self-harm than to visits for unintentional injuries or injuries of unknown intent. In this population, 38% of alcohol-related visits involved no external cause of injury (e.g., drinking to excess only). CONCLUSIONS: These data highlight the need for stronger efforts to delay initiation of alcohol use among adolescents as long as possible and to limit access to alcohol for underage drinkers.